X-Message-Number: 18588 Date: Mon, 18 Feb 2002 03:27:38 -0800 From: "John Grigg" <> Subject: the nanotech/cryonics connection This is the start of a fascinating thread from the extrolist about the challenges facing Drexlerian nanotech and cryonics. best wishes, John Re: Saul Kent's powerful new cryonics organization From: Robert J. Bradbury () Date: Thu Feb 14 2002 - 09:43:15 MST On Wed, 13 Feb 2002, John Grigg wrote: > Between the Timeship and now this project, Saul Kent and Bill Faloon are > really making a mark on cryonics. Of course, they have been for years the > biggest patrons of the movement. But there is still a lot of resistance out there, e.g. > Josh Wolfe, co-founder and managing partner of Lux Capital ... > > On the more far-out side, one business proposal Wolfe recently saw involved > cryogenically freezing the deceased and bringing them back with nanobots in > the future. > > As far as Wolfe is concerned, any technology based on the "Drexlerian vision of > nanotech"--that is, the self-replicating assembler--should be put in its place. Src: http://zdnet.com.com/2100-1103-833739.html We are not "over the hump" yet by any stretch of the imagination. Robert Re: Saul Kent's powerful new cryonics organization From: Date: Thu Feb 14 2002 - 12:18:18 MST Robert Bradbury writes: > Src: http://zdnet.com.com/2100-1103-833739.html > > Josh Wolfe, co-founder and managing partner of Lux Capital ... > > > > On the more far-out side, one business proposal Wolfe recently saw > > involved cryogenically freezing the deceased and bringing them back with > > nanobots in the future. > > > > As far as Wolfe is concerned, any technology based on the "Drexlerian > > vision of nanotech"--that is, the self-replicating assembler--should be > > put in its place. > > We are not "over the hump" yet by any stretch of the imagination. I have felt for some time that cryonics was a lead weight dragging down acceptance of Drexlerian nanotech. My theory is that people have an overwhelmingly negative emotional reaction to cryonics, in part because it implies that the death of their loved ones was preventable, and this carries over to any technology which would seem to make cryonics credible. A couple of years ago, Foresight essentially declared victory in the war for acceptance of nanotechnology. There were conferences held every year, one or more respected journals, government funding was ramping up, articles in business journals. By all accounts it was now an accepted future technology. But maybe that was premature. We are seeing a backlash, a rearguard fighting action against the original vision of nanotech. Opponents are trying to build a firewall against Drexlerian mechanosynthesis, drawing a distinction between their prosaic nanotech and Drexler's far-out visions. They prefer to focus on biotech, on nanoparticles, on MEMS, on bulk materials engineering at the nanoscale. All these things can be done today, in fact they are the natural consequence of existing technologies just extending their capabilities a bit. They want to get funding for their current research. In this environment there is no reason to even think about blue sky dreams like eternal perfect health, or nightmares like engineered malignant replicators. I think Foresight needs to go back to its roots and shore up the foundations. It's not enough to have "nanotechnology" initiatives showing up everywhere. Few of those efforts are making significant progress towards Drexler's machine-based models. Foresight needs to remind people that there is more to nanotech than making ultra-fine powders for smoother paint. We have to keep our eye on the prize, a technology which can utterly revolutionize every aspect of the world. If research is not moving us towards that goal, it should not receive funding under nanotech grants, even if it happens to involve little tiny pieces. Hal Re: Saul Kent's powerful new cryonics organization From: Anders Sandberg () Date: Thu Feb 14 2002 - 12:18:40 MST On Thu, Feb 14, 2002 at 11:18:18AM -0800, wrote: > > A couple of years ago, Foresight essentially declared victory in the > war for acceptance of nanotechnology. There were conferences held every > year, one or more respected journals, government funding was ramping up, > articles in business journals. By all accounts it was now an accepted > future technology. > > But maybe that was premature. We are seeing a backlash, a rearguard > fighting action against the original vision of nanotech. Opponents are > trying to build a firewall against Drexlerian mechanosynthesis, drawing a > distinction between their prosaic nanotech and Drexler's far-out visions. A very good point. I think partly this is because a lot of the researchers and institutions working under the nanotech banner moved in there as the field became "sexy" and well funded. They have no real ties to Drexler's ideas, and are mostly interested in pursuing their own research interests. > I think Foresight needs to go back to its roots and shore up the > foundations. It's not enough to have "nanotechnology" initiatives showing > up everywhere. Few of those efforts are making significant progress > towards Drexler's machine-based models. Foresight needs to remind > people that there is more to nanotech than making ultra-fine powders > for smoother paint. We have to keep our eye on the prize, a technology > which can utterly revolutionize every aspect of the world. If research > is not moving us towards that goal, it should not receive funding under > nanotech grants, even if it happens to involve little tiny pieces. I think this is a good example of why no field - be it nanotechnology or transhumanism - seeking dramatic results in the long run, can afford not to constantly work on its foundations and visions, show that they are not just relevant but actually important to guide action. Anders Sandberg Towards Ascension! http://www.nada.kth.se/~asa/ GCS/M/S/O d++ -p+ c++++ !l u+ e++ m++ s+/+ n--- h+/* f+ g+ w++ t+ r+ !y Re: Saul Kent's powerful new cryonics organization From: Eugene Leitl () Date: Thu Feb 14 2002 - 13:02:17 MST On Thu, 14 Feb 2002 wrote: > I have felt for some time that cryonics was a lead weight dragging down > acceptance of Drexlerian nanotech. My theory is that people have an > overwhelmingly negative emotional reaction to cryonics, in part because > it implies that the death of their loved ones was preventable, and this > carries over to any technology which would seem to make cryonics > credible. It is not that simple, but for all practical purposes you can consider cryonics to be cursed, and everything it touches tainted. > A couple of years ago, Foresight essentially declared victory in the war > for acceptance of nanotechnology. There were conferences held every > year, one or more respected journals, government funding was ramping up, > articles in business journals. By all accounts it was now an accepted > future technology. Nanotechnology, not molecular manufacturing. "Nanotechnology" has suffered namespace DoS by dilution/overuse. > But maybe that was premature. We are seeing a backlash, a rearguard > fighting action against the original vision of nanotech. Opponents are I'm not seeing this at all. In fact in the passed years opposition to drextech was considerably tougher, and those voices get progressively extinguished as our capababilities in characterisation and petty fabrication (one grad-student-afternoon) of nanodevices have been ramping up. Future never looked brighter. > trying to build a firewall against Drexlerian mechanosynthesis, drawing > a distinction between their prosaic nanotech and Drexler's far-out > visions. They prefer to focus on biotech, on nanoparticles, on MEMS, on The worse for the fools. That way they won't even get to bask in reflected credit. > bulk materials engineering at the nanoscale. All these things can be > done today, in fact they are the natural consequence of existing > technologies just extending their capabilities a bit. They want to get > funding for their current research. In this environment there is no > reason to even think about blue sky dreams like eternal perfect health, > or nightmares like engineered malignant replicators. Well, this has been going on for many years now. Funding is a lot like a scam, based on participating in fabricating consensual realities. > I think Foresight needs to go back to its roots and shore up the > foundations. It's not enough to have "nanotechnology" initiatives > showing up everywhere. Few of those efforts are making significant Right. We need molecular manufacturing initiatives. > progress towards Drexler's machine-based models. Foresight needs to > remind people that there is more to nanotech than making ultra-fine > powders for smoother paint. We have to keep our eye on the prize, a Not all of them are evil, you know. Some of the nanoclusters could be useful for precursors of molecular devices. > technology which can utterly revolutionize every aspect of the world. > If research is not moving us towards that goal, it should not receive > funding under nanotech grants, even if it happens to involve little tiny > pieces. Foresight now deals in two-digit megabuck grants? Wow. Nobody told me. Check out Cupid School where you will learn from Matchmaker's best and brightest. 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