X-Message-Number: 18959 From: "Josiah Draper" <> References: <> Subject: Re: Timing is Everything Date: Tue, 23 Apr 2002 17:29:22 -0600 Date: Mon, 22 Apr 2002 09:22:53 -0700 (PDT) From: Scott Badger <> Subject: Timing is Everything I have been on an AI list for a very, very long time (through another email address), and the proffessers I have talked with, and the general amount of people I have talked to about AI, it seems as if that we will reach singularity (superhuman intelligence in computers) as soon as 2015, and as late as 2030. -Josiah Draper >"The conclusions that I draw from these analyses are >as follows. Even with the "conservative" assumptions, >we find that nonbiological intelligence crosses the >threshold of matching and then very quickly exceeds >biological intelligence (both hardware and software) >prior to 2030." > >Max M. was more conservative suggesting it would be no >sooner than 2020 and no later than 2100 with 2050. Rate This Message: http://www.cryonet.org/cgi-bin/rate.cgi?msg=18959