X-Message-Number: 19129
Date: Mon, 20 May 2002 09:22:29 -0400
From: Thomas Donaldson <>
Subject: CryoNet #19119 - #19128

Hi everyone --- particularly all those arguing against Bellmore!

As I explained, the argument depends on a constant rate of decrease 
in the probability of death. ANYTHING which produces that, or 
ANY SET OF METHODS (with time a larger and larger set) which produces
that decrease will produce immortality in a subset of the population.

So far as I know there is no way to make a decrease, even a NONconstant
one, which drives the probability of death to zero (0) at some future
time. Even if such a way existed, it still would not prevent OUR
death since we now live in a time at the probability is NOT zero.

The main point here is that the METHODS by which this decrease can
happen are not important. The main thing to concentrate on is that
of whether or future technology can bring that probability down 
constantly or more than constantly. As for the happy point, we have
no evidence we cannot. The sad point is that our probability of 
death will still remain nonzero, simply because the only function
which would decrease it fast enough would be a decrease to zero

Or to put it more strongly, arguments about particular technical 
means miss the point completely.

		Best wishes and long long life for all,

			Thomas Donaldson

Rate This Message: http://www.cryonet.org/cgi-bin/rate.cgi?msg=19129