X-Message-Number: 20836
From: 
Date: Sun, 12 Jan 2003 08:50:24 EST
Subject: Re: CryoNet #20831 What are the chances?

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> What percentage chance do you think someone who is cryonically preserved
> has of being revived in the future?
> 

When Frank Drake in 60's launched the project Ozma to ear about 
extra-terrestrial civilization using radio-telescope, on of this first move 
was to make an equation about the probability to find an evolved technology 
near a given star.

Your question is, in fact, about a similar equation about cryonics.
First, I would argue that this equation is a sum over all the possibilities 
to live again. That sum would include:
1/ Brain scanning, reduce the information content and model it on a neural 
network.
2/ Brain scanning and implement the found network on a dedicated artificial 
neuron system built from FPGA circuits.
3/ Brain scanning at molecular level and simulation of each molecule by a 3D 
modeler in a super computer.
4/ Brain scanning and building back a similar (on quantum level) structure in 
an analog quantum computer.

Option 1,2 would need an MRI scanner, option 3 an intensity interferometer 
and option 4 a quantum non-demolition X-ray interferometer.

In the same way as old B and W movies are colour coded by computers, options 
1, 2 and 3 could be upgraded to option 4.

Any of these options could be limited to life is a simulated world or could 
use a robot body in the "real" world.

Clay crystals could be injected in a brain and support an interface to 
get/send information from/to nearby neurons. In this way, the computer brain 
could act as "an angel" for the biological brain.

The biological brain can be a clone of the original body, another gene 
combination body, another species representative.

Massive quantum teleportation could download a full new body from a quantum 
computer. The body on the QC could be an artificial creation, a scanned body, 
a teleported body...

The original body could be brain scanned or teleported into a QC, some stem 
cells harvested and cultivated. The body would then sterilized by radiation 
and the cryoprotectant degraded in a controled way. Stem cells would then be 
implanted to repopulate the conjonctive matrix. They would use the matter of 
death cells an energy provided by an accelerated field. The brain would have 
to be teleported from a quantum computer.

You can think about all nanotech solutions...

All of that give you the sum of all possibility, you have then to estimate 
for each one the political probability of "laissez-faire", the technological 
possibility, the probability to have the money to make it, ....

You must take into account the religious factor,...In France the raelian 
"coup" has been a pretext to make cloning a crime against humanity on the 
same rank as Hitler cremation furnance. I let imagine what politicians would 
think about any serious live again move.

My global ratting is that on technological ground alone, the revival 
possibility is near 100 percent, using one technology or another. Taking the 
money problem into account, there may be more delays and so more risk from 
accident. Taking into account the religious/political element yet reduces the 
probability to nearly zero. 

If you want to live again, be ready to fight the third world war against all 
the states of the world and all churches and their followers; (si vice pacem, 
para belum).

Yvan Bozzonetti.

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