X-Message-Number: 21103
From: 
Date: Sun, 9 Feb 2003 07:59:51 EST
Subject: Re: progress direction

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From Thomas Donaldson:

> Incidentally, spintronics and the other technologies you mention
> are specifically of interest to NONcryonicists and NONimmortalists
> as ways to make smaller circuits, and thus pack more power into
> less energy (a paradox)! And less size.
> 

Interesting remark, indeed big money goes to R&D area not of major interest 
for cryonics and life extension. In this century, progress seems to go mostly 
to the 4th electronics generation. This will bring some quantitative 
progress, including in biological instrumentation but not in the most 
effective domain for cryonics.

I think it is false to see *the* progress as a straight road we walk or run 
on. Potential progress is a multidimensional space and the track followed in 
it can quite miss large domains. The 20th century story tells us that: What 
about airships? flywheel powered cars experimented in the 30's in Africa? 
Space travel?  large hovercraft? Air cushion trains? superconducing electric 
storage? Relief TV?...

When you look at what has been done and what could have been, it is a plain 
evidence that very few of the possible are effectively built in the real 
world. So, it must be not a surprise if cryonics related progress is 
indefinitely let to decay on the road side. You can't simply talk about how 
much time it will take to have this or that. The best probability is that 
this time will be infinite, even if the thing could be done right now.

That is why I think *my solution* will come first or even alone: Because I 
put money in it to do the research even if nobody else is interested.

Yvan Bozzonetti.

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