X-Message-Number: 21428 From: Date: Wed, 19 Mar 2003 05:12:08 EST Subject: Re: SARS --part1_6b.cd72e4c.2ba99c78_boundary Content-Type: text/plain; charset="US-ASCII" Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit As said before, it could be Spanish flu, even if it is not flu: 80 year ago, flu was defined from its symptoms, not the antigenic properties of its virus. The great pandemic of 1918 could start because of the large disruption created by WWI, I think hystory don't serve the same dishes two times. Containment seems workable in modern countries. The biggest hazard comes from underdeveloped countries with a large AIDS contamination: The risk is that SARS "solve" the AIDS problem with may be 20 millions deaths in one year or two. If such an outbreak would take place, the problem would become world wilde. Unlawful immigration for example would bring tens of thousand cases/year in Europe for example. This could not be controled. For many years, the untold politics of most nations has been vs AIDS in Africa has been: " Let them die", we now see what may be the cost. Yvan Bozzonetti. --part1_6b.cd72e4c.2ba99c78_boundary Content-Type: text/html; charset="US-ASCII" [ AUTOMATICALLY SKIPPING HTML ENCODING! ] Rate This Message: http://www.cryonet.org/cgi-bin/rate.cgi?msg=21428