X-Message-Number: 21766
From: "Mark Plus" <>
Subject: OT: U.S. faces natural gas crisis.
Date: Sat, 17 May 2003 08:54:23 -0700

We're not going to become immortal superhumans if the U.S. power supply 
fails because of a crash in the natural gas supply. I got the heads-up on 
this crisis from reading the alternative press, so maybe the Peak Oil/Dieoff 
advocates have identified a threat to our survival we need to begin to take 
seriously -- Mark Plus.

http://www.upi.com/view.cfm?StoryID=20030516-040153-6171r

Abraham calls summer natural gas summit
From the National Desk
Published 5/16/2003 5:38 PM
View printer-friendly version


WASHINGTON, May 16 (UPI) -- Energy industry leaders Friday were summoned to 
an emergency summit next month to formulate a plan to deal with the nation's 
paltry supply of natural gas before utilities find themselves caught in a 
supply-and-price squeeze during the dog days of summer.

Energy Secretary Spencer Abraham told an audience in Washington that the 
June session of the National Petroleum Council (NPC) was a necessary step in 
dealing with gas storage levels that frustratingly remain at less than half 
of what they were last spring.

"The ideas and suggestions that emerge from that meeting can then be 
implemented during the critical summer period," Abraham told the NPC, an 
advisory group that consists of oil-and-gas companies, academics and other 
stakeholders in the energy industry.

"I understand that June is just around the corner, and I am requesting this 
meeting on short notice, but I think these challenges require us to act 
today," he said.

Abraham said he wanted the NPC to explore steps that could be taken 
immediately to keep large volumes of gas flowing into underground storage 
for use in air conditioning during the summer and for heating in the winter.

The energy industry has blamed the inventory lag on rapid use of gas in 
storage due to hot summer and cold winter weather, and on the increasing 
difficulty of squeezing more gas out of maturing fields in both the United 
States and Canada.

According to the National Gas Supply Association, 40 percent of the United 
States' gas reserves are on government-controlled lands and offshore areas 
that are restricted by environmental regulations.

Abraham didn't suggest any specific steps that could be taken in order to 
spur gas production in the short term; however he said it would take "much 
more" than the current 60 billion cubic feet per week storage rate in order 
to reach what the Energy Department considers its desired pre-winter 
inventory of more than 3 trillion cubic feet tucked away in storage by 
October.

"Our current stocks of natural gas in underground storage are unusually low 
due to a combination of cold weather in the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic 
regions this past winter, and declines in both domestic production and net 
imports," Abraham pointed out. "We had 696 billion cubic feet of gas in 
storage at the end of March, the lowest level since 1976, when the Energy 
Information Agency began keeping records."

Injections into storage facilities have surged in the past few weeks, 
although the current inventory of around 72 billion cubic feet is still half 
of what they were last year and 42-percent of the 5-year average. As a 
result, front-month gas futures prices on the New York Mercantile Exchange 
have been on a gradual upward trend this spring to around $6.10 per million 
British thermal units (MMBtu) compared to around $5.75 MMBtu in mid May 
2002.

June NYMEX gas ended the week up slightly at $6.12 MMBtu as the National 
Weather Service predicted a late-spring heat wave next week in Texas and the 
South that could divert gas from storage for use in generating power for air 
conditioning.

"The exceptionally large shortfall in natural gas storage relative to normal 
levels continues to place unusually strong upward pressure on near-term gas 
prices because companies need to obtain large amounts of natural gas to 
refill storage for the next heating season, which will compete with other 
uses," the Energy Information Administration warned this week. "Moreover, if 
abnormally warm weather prevails this summer, the market demand may surge, 
particularly in the western and southern United States, where natural gas is 
heavily used for power generation."

Copyright   2001-2003 United Press International

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