X-Message-Number: 22250 Date: Sat, 26 Jul 2003 07:20:12 -0400 From: Thomas Donaldson <> Subject: CryoNet #22208 - #22215 Once more, about the probability that cryonics will succeed (or not): It is quite simply invalid to consider probability in a case in which the speaker can do something to affect the outcome. I note that many of those talking about the probability of the failure of cryonics are exactly those who are working to make it succeed --- at least those on Cryonet. If we are playing a game with dice, and you know that I have means of affecting the way those dice fall, then just what weight do you attach to any claim of mine, say, that a pair of 1's are quite unlikely? But that image presupposes that we are all solely audience, while others are busily trying to change the roll of the dice. What's really happening is that we're all doing our best to make it come up as we want, "improbable" as that may be. Even by signing up and paying dues to a cryonics organization you are doing your small bit towards making cryonics succeed. Best wishes and long long life for all, Thomas Donaldson Rate This Message: http://www.cryonet.org/cgi-bin/rate.cgi?msg=22250