X-Message-Number: 235 From att!la.tis.com!fermat!r Mon Oct 15 23:40:02 1990 Return-Path: <att!la.tis.com!fermat!r> Received: from att.UUCP by whscad1.att.uucp (4.1/SMI-3.2) id AA10572; Mon, 15 Oct 90 23:40:01 EDT Received: by att.att.com; Mon Oct 15 23:33:21 1990 Received: from fermat.UUCP by la.tis.com (4.1/SUN-5.64) id AA12247; Mon, 15 Oct 90 20:31:49 PDT Received: by rhmr.com (3.2/SMI-3.2) id AA08158; Mon, 15 Oct 90 11:07:05 PDT Date: Mon, 15 Oct 90 11:07:05 PDT From: fermat! (Richard Schroeppel) Message-Id: <> To: Subject: Submission to the Cryonics List Cheap Freeze - A New Approach to Cryonics Abstract: The main bar to widespread adoption of cryonics is the cost. This proposal addresses that problem. Cryonic suspension today costs about $120K, with head-only around half that. A person planning suspension must give up the equivalent of a house or a college education in order to purchase the suspension. If revival and immortality were moderately likely, the cost would be worth it. But with the odds looking so unfavorable, the decision to deprive one's heirs of the bulk of one's estate is a heavy one. The heirs don't like it either, and the quasi-religious character of Alcor provides a tempting legal target. The surrounding legalisms make things worse. I propose to sidestep these problems with a new approach, one that doesn't cost a nominal egg. If the cost of freezing were comparable to the cost of a conventional burial, we'd see a lot more people opting for the freezer. I propose that we develop a "you-store" approach, and skip the fancy freezing protocol in favor of much cheaper fast freezing. We develop a standard design for the can: Double or triple wall, a monitoring system that watches temperature and liquid nitrogen levels, a few sizes. The freezing protocol skips the blood removal step and all the intravenous stuff. We place the victim in an open wooden box, use dry-ice & alcohol externally as the initial coolant, and finish with liquid nitrogen. The equipment can be carried in a pickup truck, and the materials required are available off the shelf in major cities. We drop most of the death watch, maybe pre-positioning some dry ice and the truck. The goal is still to cool the victim promptly, but we think on a scale of tens of minutes to start cooling rather than instantly. If cooling is delayed for an hour, it's not a tragedy. A physician is still needed to pronounce death; if the victim dies in a nursing home or hospital, this shouldn't be too much of a problem. The can will cost a couple of thousand dollars; the suspension another thousand. We offer to buy back the can for the first three months, so people feel they can change their minds. It's cheap enough that almost anyone faced with a dying parent or the surprise death of a spouse or child can make the decision to freeze instantly. They can pick up the phone, call Cheap Freeze, and charge the suspension on MasterCard. The truck zips over to the victim's house or hospital room and starts the cooling; we come back in a day or so with the can, and arrange payment or credit. The victim's body remains in the possession of the relatives, who are responsible for topping up the LN2 every couple of months. We tell him where to buy LN2, or we make deliveries occasionally. This costs a maybe a hundred dollars a year. The relatives join the growing contingent of support for nanotech and revival research. The grandchildren finance the victim's revival when the science is developed and the costs become reasonable. Today, a significant fraction of the public accepts the idea of freezing, but almost nobody gets frozen. The ALCOR approach is too expensive. It requires an unusual amount of foresight to face one's own death squarely and pre-arrange for freezing. My proposal costs (up front) less than the present net worth of the average American, probably less than the credit limit of the average credit card. The present value of the LN2 is fairly high, but the expense rate is perfectly tolerable, less than the cost of eating out once a month. The big cost is storage, but most people can find room for the can in the garage or spare room. (Small apartments will be a problem.) Lots more people will be melted, but lots more will also be frozen. Freezing might even become the usual treatment-of-last-resort. Insurance coverage for funeral expenses is an accepted (even somewhat old fashioned) concept, and freezing is close enough to be accepted as an alternative. When there are enough people frozen, we can build central storage. Objections: 1. There will be lots of meltees, due to both accidents and to relatives' change of heart. Answer: Very true, but certainly less than half; and almost nobody is being frozen at today's prices anyway. 2. There will be occasional injury accidents with LN2. Answer: True, but this is a tolerable cost for the greater goal. 3. Alcor freezes better. Answer: True, but maybe it doesn't matter. (Of course, it's no use to you if you can't afford it.) A person suspended by Alcor may have a shot at being revived prior to the development of true nanotechnology, and might not require massive cellular reconstruction or cloning a fresh body. In particular, the Alcor freezing protocols are close to what the organ preservation people use now; there's hope that improvements in thawing technology will permit revival in favorable cases. My approach is still feasible, though: assuming the mind is stored in the synapses, the bits are still recoverable until decay sets in, maybe even for a week or so after death. 4. There is no provision for reanimation costs. Answer: A relative who thinks it's worth the trouble is a fairly good insurance policy. 5. Having the body around will keep a widow from remarrying, and prevent people from accepting the loss of their relative, prolonging their grief. Answer: Usually the widow can dump the can with the kids. And grief can be a lot less intense if the loss needn't be acknowledged as final. 6. Some people won't have relatives to store them and pick up the LN2 tab. Answer: True, but most people will. 7. There may get to be a lot of cans hanging around in people's apartments. Answer: We can store them at modest cost; the pro rata cost of a storage bin is maybe $10/month. 8. More seriously, the potential "societal overhang" could be a problem if the dependency ratio exceeds 1. Answer: We can only wish that this problem should arise. This problem is generic to all successful cryonics approaches. (It's unlikely to be a problem for Alcor.) The crude death rate in the US is about .9% per year. With a level population, and 100% freezing, it would take 110 years to reach dependency ratio 1. An increasing population will take longer, since the earlier deaths are amortized over more living people. We can see medical developments on the horizon that will make a big dent in the current death rate. And 110 years isn't a bad guess for when nanotechnology will be ready to start reviving people. Finally, the costs of maintaining frozen space can be brought way down if there are enough cans to justify an insulated cold building. An advantage of my approach is that the relatives don't view the cryonics company as a religion that seduced their loved one and stole the family fortune. Also they don't have to trust me to store the bod. It's cheap enough to be a snap decision, and cheap enough to do for your parents, maybe even your brother-in-law (the jerk - he's better off dead). The pamphlet explaining things can be ten pages, given away free. No legalese, maybe even no lawyers. We can start immediately, and be on-line in six months. The immediate tasks are 1) designing, building, and testing a few cans; 2) lining up a supply of dry-ice and LN2; 3) some trial runs with test animals, including some microscope work; 4) legal work to write a no-liability sales contract for the can; 5) checking out the local law regarding disposal of bodies, and hospital procedures for releasing the deceased; 6) some advertising so people know the phone number for the answering service; 7) a few talk show appearances, to announce that cut-rate service is available. If Alcor will help, most of this can be short-circuited. They might help, because the approach is complementary to Alcor, not competition. (Does Hyundai compete with Mercedes?) Getting more people frozen will help the public opinion climate, then the legal climate, and eventually get the necessary revival research funded. My approach requires even more research, but it will be a useful backup for Alcor's customers. There is potential opposition from the funeral industry, since we are competing for the same dollars. They can still sell grief services, and will no doubt get into the can biz. (I'm not thrilled by this, but it would be a big improvement over the current situation.) Science questions: For how long after death is the information in memory retrievable? What cellular and molecular events destroy the information? Rich Schroeppel, October 1990 Rate This Message: http://www.cryonet.org/cgi-bin/rate.cgi?msg=235