X-Message-Number: 24270 Date: Sat, 19 Jun 2004 09:49:29 -0400 From: Thomas Donaldson <> Subject: CryoNet #24091 - #24094 HI everyone! I know that this commentary is late, but I'll send it anyway. I am referring to the note by on the "probabilities" of revival, and Steve Bridge's comments on it. Basically I feel very glad that Steve put this message on Cryonet. As someone with some familiarity with probability theory, I have repeatedly argued against the idea that we can attach a probability to our revival for the very same reasons that Steve Bridge gives. Put more technically, we cannot attach a probability to events affected by our own actions. Even an "estimate" won't work, for the very same reason --- plus the obvious fact that calling it an "estimate" is just a way to give a different word to what you're doing when you "attach a probability". Those who think this should try shaking their heads to wake themselves up. Best wishes and long long life to all, Thomas Donaldson Rate This Message: http://www.cryonet.org/cgi-bin/rate.cgi?msg=24270