X-Message-Number: 24623
Date: Sun, 12 Sep 2004 14:41:38 +0200
Subject: Re: Oil Crisis: Cryonics Orgs Leave US Now!
From: David Stodolsky <>

On Sunday, September 12, 2004, at 03:18  AM, Peter Merel wrote:

> It may be, however, with changing supply and demand, oil will cost 10
> times as much in 10 years.


In 1977 President Carter said we "could use up all the proven reserves 
of oil in the entire world by the end of the next decade." But today 
known reserves are larger than ever. Reserves and production outside 
the Middle East are larger than they were 31 years ago, when a State 
Department report was titled "The Oil Crisis: This Time the Wolf is 
Here."

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A36316-2004Jun12.html


Over the long haul, proven reserves are increasing, not decreasing. New 
discoveries and technological advance continue to make new oil 
available faster than it is burned up.

http://www.pregnantpause.org/overpop/oil.htm


As Standard Oil executive Wallace Pratt said in 1944, it is a "fallacy 
... [to] cite proved reserves as a measure of available future 
supplies." Yet this is exactly what has animated US policy in the 
Middle East.

http://www.radford.edu/~wkovarik/oil/



It is clear that oil reserve figures are driven by political 
considerations. There is no evidence that oil will be in short supply, 
regardless of Pentagon 'Resource War' 'simulations'.



> It'd be a war of liberation in the neocon mode, but bigger. We'll prop
> up brutal dictators in all target nations, mount media campaigns
> against 'em, then the mines get laid, the bombs dropped, the innocents
> slaughtered, and Halliburton wins no-contest reconstruction contracts.

According to a experts, continuation of current policies will likely 
result in a nuclear attack on the USA within the next ten years:

http://www.rnw.nl/amsterdamforum/html/040911af.html


Probably a greater threat to cryonics organizations is the rising 
climate of violence, which encourages armed attacks, and the erosion of 
civil liberties, which increases legal threats to 'nonconformist' 
organizations. Thus, threats are primarily political and social, as 
history has shown. Focusing on physical shortages is at best a 
distraction. In this case, it appears counter-productive, since it 
increases the power of social actors opposed to cryonics and promotes 
social instability.

Therefore, while it may be appropriate for cryonics organizations to 
leave the USA, this judgment should be based upon developments in the 
political climate.



dss


David S. Stodolsky    SpamTo: 

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