X-Message-Number: 26997
References: <>
From: David Stodolsky <>
Subject: Re: Predicted Cryonics Institute membership to 2044
Date: Sat, 10 Sep 2005 18:43:20 +0200

On 8 Sep 2005, at 09:46, David Stodolsky wrote:

> <http://cryin.secureid.org/stories/storyReader$52>

> Thus, it is more than doubling every five years.
> These results suggest that member population will grow by almost  
> eight thousand in 2033 and by over sixty thousand in 2044.
>
> From 1998 on, growth seems much faster, with a doubling time closer  
> to three years - 23 percent per year. While the Year by Period  
> (1985-1997 vs. 1998-2004) interaction is highly significant  
> (P<0.0018), we preselected the break point, so that needs to be  
> taken into account (Was there any change in membership strategy at  
> CI around 1997?). If this faster growth rate continues, member  
> population will be over 1/2 million in 2044, with an increase of  
> about 120,000 in that year.

This was, of course, "over 5 million in 2044, with an increase of  
about 1.2 million in that year.

Graphs showing projected growth thru 2044 have been added to the page.


dss


David Stodolsky    Skype: davidstodolsky

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