X-Message-Number: 297
>From uunet!ssi!tao!root  Sat Apr 13 09:30:48 1991
Subject: Re: cryonics #293 - Re: Time To Reanimation
To: att!whscad1!kqb (Kevin Q Brown +1 201 386 7344)
Date: Fri, 12 Apr 91 23:20:20 CST
From: Admin <uunet!ssi!tao!root>
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> To: 
> From: 
> :Subject: Cryonics
> Date: Wed, 10 Apr 91 20:20:57 PDT
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> X-Origin: The Portal System (TM)
> "What are the criteria for making educated guesses about timescales for 
> reanimation (or any projected scientific/technical achievement)?"
> I assume that about as soon as nanotechnology is available, reanimation
> will be possible.  I also assume that nanotechnology will be possible as
> soon as computer chips are built with transistors on the molecular scales.
> I also assume that computer chips will continue to shrink transistor size
> at the same rate they have since 1967.  Based on this I would guess 40 
> years for both nanotechnology and reanimation to be here.
>                                                                Eric Klien
	Yes, but this considers only the technological side of it.
	I never believed, and do not now believe that the earth will
	suffer a nuclear holocaust, but there are other things that
	could put reanimation in some danger.  Mostly political issues.
	Where will the U.S. and the rest of the developed world be
	in 50 or a 100 years?  With the growing number of lower-middle
	moving into the lowest economic category,  will reanimation
	be politically feasible for anyone other than the superrich
	or famous?     I expect that it *will*, and that indeed, it
	will be commonplace in time.  But this is the type of risk
	that must be factored in.

	If we could ignore politics, which really is to say--if
	we could ignore interpersonal relationships--we would be
	a lot  further down the road.    But it would be a lonely
	road... .

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