X-Message-Number: 30478
From: David Stodolsky <>
Subject: Re: Beyond the reach of today's Cryonics Movement
Date: Fri, 15 Feb 2008 04:20:04 +0100
References: <>

On 14 Feb 2008, at 07:14, Kennita Watson wrote:

>>
>> So, if the analysis is correct, how can we get these people into
>> suspension? Only by a change in their worldview. They need to be
>> attracted into an organization by immediate benefits and then  
>> educated
>> appropriately. That is, some collective arrangement must be  
>> developed,
>> because there is no chance they will sign up otherwise. In fact,  
>> there
>> is very little hope they will even expose themselves to the
>> information about cryonics that could be used as a basis for a
>> decision.
>
> That's a problem for another day -- when we have
> 3% market penetration and billions of dollars
> and are looking for 4%, not when we have 0.0003%
> and thousands of dollars and are looking for
> 0.0004%.  Sufficient unto the day....


Recall that we found that about 20% of the population was sufficiently  
religious so that they would not change their minds under any  
circumstances. After eliminating all of these people, we still had an  
overwhelming proportion who would reject information about cryonics:  
When we include only those who claim they are willing to change their  
attitude, the strongest negative effect is due to, "Cryonics doesn't  
interest me because I just don't think it will work."

When  we include only those who claim they are willing to change their  
attitude, there is a highly significant difference between atheists/ 
agnostics and others on the question, "I would feel more favorably  
toward the idea of cryonics if a human were revived." Other questions  
that showed religious orientation earlier, still showed up as a trend  
with this demographic comparison.  Only atheists showed a trend in  
their responses to, "I believe that Cryonics is an exciting idea and  
intend on looking into it further."

This shows that the information avoidance effect we are looking at is  
not confined to only the most religious, but also to less religious  
persons, and even to agnostics. Since we can't compare the atheists to  
anyone else "less religious" is most likely that these factors  
influence everyone in the survey. Finally, the importance of the  
religious variable indicates a worldview effect, which is a group  
factor. One of the more significant questions was "Cryonically  
preserving me would be too hard/weird for my family/friends to  
handle."  as was "I would not want to wake up in a future time without  
my family or friends around." These are group/relational  
considerations. Therefore, we can conclude there is a fundamental flaw  
in a promotion strategy that doesn't include them.

A solution would not require billions of dollars, but only millions.  
This is well within the range of what is being spent on research today.


dss

David Stodolsky    Skype: davidstodolsky

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