X-Message-Number: 32305
Date: Sun, 10 Jan 2010 22:57:31 -0800 (PST)
From: 
Subject: LN2 storage cost set to slightly decline... 

The following sounds plausible. This also implies that global warming is
history.

_____________________
The ozone hole did it
Posted: January 09, 2010, 12:41 AM by NP Editor

New Univeristy of Waterloo study finds CFCs, not CO2, to be the cause of recent 
global warming
By Lawrence Solomon


Climate change is real and man-made, explains University of Waterloo professor 
Qin-Bin Lu, author of a new study published this week in the peer-reviewed 
journal, Physics Reports.

Professor Lu also explains that the climate change crisis is over. Thanks to an 
international environmental treaty, the planet is no longer in peril. We have, 
in fact, begun a long cooling period that will bring Earth's temperatures back 
to normal.

The man-made cause of global warming is not CO2 and the international treaty 
that saved the planet is not the Kyoto Protocol. Rather, says Dr. Lu, the true 
cause of global warming has been CFCs, or chlorofluorocarbons, a class of 
chemicals that was once widely used in aerosol cans and refrigeration. As CFC 
use soared in the decades following World War II, he explains, the globe started
warming dramatically. The world stopped warming dramatically when government 
regulations began to phase out CFCs, an event that culminated in the western 
world in 2000. Almost immediately afterward, in 2002, the world began to cool as
CFCs started to diminish in our atmosphere.

The heroes in this tale are environmentalists and world leaders such as U.S. 
President Ronald Reagan and Canadian Prime Minister Brian Mulroney, who got 
together to sign the Montreal Protocol of 1987. This protocol was designed to 
stop the Ozone Hole from developing above the Antarctic by ridding the planet of
ozone-destroying CFCs. Little did either the environmentalists or the world 
leaders recognize at the time, explains Professor Lu, that their actions would 
also eliminate the threat to the planet of global warming.

Professor Lu, a path-breaking scientist in the field of ozone protection, made 
his CO2 discovery by accident - he was looking for culprits in the formation of 
the ozone hole over Antarctica. A chief suspect was CO2: Climate models produced
by climatologists showed that CO2 would have devastating effects on the ozone 
layer, significantly enlarging the ozone hole over Antarctica and dramatically 
enlarging it over the Arctic. But when Dr. Lu compared the imagined output of 
the climate models with the actual measurements taken real-time by satellites 
and weather balloons, the models turned out to be soaring failures.


Ozone hole over South Pole:  "Warming on Earth's surface between 1950 and 2000 
is pretty much due to CFCs," says Prof. Qin-Bin Lu. Photo credit NASA.

"I didn't see any CO2 effect on temperature or ozone depletion over the South 
Pole from 1956 to 2008," explained Dr. Lu, surprised at how totally different 
the real-world measurements were from those that the climate model predicted. 
The real-world measurements showed CO2 to be largely irrelevant - "the global 
warming on Earth's surface between 1950 and 2000 is pretty much due to CFCs," he
concluded. "The models say that CO2 is a major greenhouse gas but the facts 
show otherwise."

In contrast, CFCs have long been known to be a greenhouse gas that, on a 
molecule per molecule basis, is 10,000 times more potent than CO2. Professor 
Lu's satellite and balloon measurements showed that factor of 10,000 to have 
been a gross underestimate!

Had CFCs never been widely used in our air conditioners and refrigerators, Dr. 
Lu believes, the Earth would not have warmed in the last century. And had CFCs 
not been banned, he would not be predicting a period of global cooling.

But with the CFC ban, and the subsequent phase-out of this ozone destroying 
chemical, global warming stopped and, early this decade, a period of global 
cooling began. This cooling will last "at least 50 years, and possibly 70 years"
as the global temperatures return to their pre-CFC levels, he explains, barring
the rise of an alternative to CFC, or the introduction of another greenhouse 
gas into the atmosphere.

The cooling, he predicts, will be gentle - "after 2010 or so, the globe 
temperature will experience a small bounce back but a general declining tendency
will not change." Neither will the new levels be worrisome - Earth will find 
itself back at the levels of the 1950s, which themselves hadn't changed much 
over the previous century.

Dr Lu's study is now published and the reviews he has received to date have been
favourable but he may find himself writing a postscript in three year's time. 
Like hundreds of other scientists around the world, Dr. Lu may have unwittingly 
relied on invalid data for a portion of his study. His real-time satellite and 
balloon data, which shows CO2 does not cause climate change, is not in dispute. 
Not so for the historical temperature data, on which he based his estimates of 
how much global cooling we face as Earth's temperatures return to their historic
pre-CFC levels. "My temperature data comes from the UK - the Climate Research 
Unit at East Anglia University," he reveals when questioned.

As a result of the Climategate Scandal, this temperature data is now in doubt. 
Investigations into the Climategate emails are underway at East Anglia and the 
United Nation's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. More significantly, 
CRU's data is so suspect that the UK Met Office, which partnered with the 
Climate Research Unit in producing datasets for researchers, is undertaking a 
mammoth three-year investigation during which it will re-examine 160 years of 
original temperature data to determine to what extent, if any, CRU cooked the 
books.

Because of all this uncertainty, "I cannot say how reliable their data is," 
states Professor Lu, who has done his best to reassure himself that all is in 
order. When the Climategate scandal erupted as his study was being completed, he
cross-checked the CRU data to that of NOAA, another prominent organization, and
then he cross-checked his data again when CRU's partner, the UK Met Office, 
released more data. "All of them look similar," Professor Lu says.  Professor 
Lu's cross-checks provide scant reassurance, however, because all these 
data-handling agencies had drawn their data from the same tainted pool. Although
Professor Lu declines to comment on the Climategate scandal, he cannot be 
confident that his study will not need to be redone in three year's time, when 
the UK Met Office completes its re-examination.

One calculation in his study that may change with revised CRU data: His 50-70 
year estimate of the coming global cooling may change by two or three decades. 
One calculation that won't change: CO2's contribution to global warming remains 
approximately nil.
Financial Post



Lawrence Solomon is executive director of Energy Probe and Urban Renaissance 
Institute and author of The Deniers: The world-renowned scientists who stood up 
against global warming hysteria, political persecution, and fraud.

[The following is impossible to explain by any CO2 based mechanism!]
_______________________________________________________
Cold weather strengthens grip in the South; snow flurries in Orlando

at 20:01 on January 10, 2010, EDT.
THE ASSOCIATED PRESS
Share|

MIAMI - Freakish cold weather continued to grip the South, with snow flurries 
spotted around Orlando and a record low set for Miami, and forecasters said 
Sunday that more of the same was expected.

About 100,000 tropical fish being raised on a fish farm in South Florida 
couldn't bear the cold. Michael Breen, 43, who owns Breen Acres Aquatics in the 
small town of Loxahatchee Groves just north of Miami, said temperatures dropped 
below 30 degrees overnight, leaving ice on his 76 ponds.
The ponds should be green because of algae bloom that feeds baby fish, he said.

"But all the ponds are crystal clear and fish are laying on the bottom. What we 
see on the surface died two days ago," he said, referring to the dead fish found
floating Sunday morning.
Breen estimated he lost $535,000 in business because of the cold.

The National Weather Service issued a hard freeze warning for South Florida from
Sunday night to Monday morning. A freeze watch will continue through Tuesday. 
Northern Florida residents will feel temperatures drop to the lower 20s and 
mid-teens.

On Saturday night, a temperature of 35 degrees set a record that had stood since
1970, said Joel Rothfuss with the National Weather Service in Miami.

He said a record low of 37 on Monday, which was set in 1927, could also be 
broken, with the forecast saying it would drop to 35 degrees again.

Breen said his Florida town, which raises everything from tropical birds and 
fish to organic produce and palm trees, was holding on to the little that was 
left from the cold.
"Everybody is just wiped out. It's that bad," he said.

For the first time in at least 30 years, Miami Metrozoo shut its doors because 
it was too cold. Atlanta's zoo was closed because the trails were iced over, 
officials said. Temperatures in Atlanta stayed in the 30s over the weekend with 
lows in the teens. The average high for Atlanta is in the 50s with lows in the 
30s.

The start of the Walt Disney World Marathon in Orlando was 28 degrees before 
dawn, though it climbed into the 40s by late afternoon. Average highs in the 
central Florida city this time of year are in the lows 70s.

In a suburb north of Atlanta, two teens died Saturday after falling through the 
ice on a partially frozen pond. The surviving teen was in stable condition at a 
hospital, said Gwinnett County Fire and Emergency Services Capt. Tommy Rutledge.
He said the three, ages 13 to 15, were playing and sliding on the semi-frozen 
pond when the ice broke.

"I'm sure that that frozen over pond was probably enticing to the kids," he 
said.

Ice does not freeze uniformly with some spots only an inch thick, he said. They 
had been warning children to stay off frozen-over ponds, he said.

In Vermont, state police said a snowmobiling accident on a partially frozen lake
killed three people Saturday, including a 3-year-old girl.

Police say three snowmobiles carrying a total of six people went through ice on 
Lake Dunmore near Salisbury at around noon Saturday. Killed were: 50-year-old 
Kevin Flynn, of Whiting; 24-year-old Carrie Flynn, of Whiting; and 3-year-old 
Bryanna Popp.

Rate This Message: http://www.cryonet.org/cgi-bin/rate.cgi?msg=32305