X-Message-Number: 4853
Date: Thu, 7 Sep 1995 08:27:13 -0700 (PDT)
From: Doug Skrecky <>
Subject: incremental immortality

       When Steve Bridge, the president of Alcor admits to believing
   that if cryonics organizations remain the same size they are
   currently, they are all doomed we should all take notice. 
   Alternatives to cryonics no matter how ridiculous or unlikely they
   may seem at first glance, deserve a second look. 
       The following article which deals with one alternative to
   cryonics was the first one I wrote for Canadian Cryonics News. It
   appeared in the Autumn 1990 issue. Little did I realize it at the
   time but an experiment was in progress then, which could very well
   have laid the foundations for implimenting incremental immortality,
   but more on this later. 
 
       INCREMENTAL IMMORTALITY: AN ALTERNATIVE TO CRYONICS
                       By Doug Skrecky
       Faced with death we have three options: We can ignore it,
   disbelieve in it, or do something about it. The religious skeptic
   has had little alternative but to avoid thinking about the topic of
   death as there was little profit in such thinking. Attitudes like
   you live on in your children somehow gain ready acceptance and the
   mind refuses to think any farther. For true believers the situation
   is better. Buddists have their nirvana, Hinduists their
   reincarnation, while Christians have their resurrection. Recently
   alternatives for the religious skeptic have arisen. The idea of
   passively accepting our biological fate is being challenged by
   recent scientific advances. Now Cryonics and Incremental Immortality
   both claim to offer a chance at attaining eternal life. However
   while these claims are all beset with difficulties Incremental
   Immortality is a much more reasonable proposition. 
       One problem with Cryonics is that the technology for reanimating
   frozen cadavers does not yet exist and may never exist. It has been
   claimed that a hypothetical future superscience based on microscopic
   industrial robots in the nanometer size range will one day be
   capable of effecting sufficient repairs at the molecular level such
   that (our) dead bodies could be reanimated provided they were
   sufficiently well preserved. Even if we are generous and grant that
   this technology will one day develop Cryonics still faces the even
   more serious challenge of ensuring adequate preservation. If
   freezing is delayed by even one day after death brain
   microstructures would likely be destroyed beyond any hope of future
   repair. Unless one commits suicide or is dieing slowly of a terminal
   disease it may be difficult to ensure that freezing will in fact
   take place shortly after death. It may take several centuries (if
   not millenia) to develop reanimating technology and it is highly
   doubtful that cryonics organizations themselves could last that
   long. Even with the permafrost burial option one would have to
   contend with global warming as well as bacterial action. Cryonics is
   an all-or-nothing proposition -most likely nothing. 
       Cryonics deserves credit for at least trying to prolong life. 
   Neither ignoring death nor disbelieving in it accomplish even this
   much. However like other attitudes Cryonics still assumes that
   little can be done to currently increase our life expectancy. This
   proposition itself is now in doubt. Advances in medical science are
   yielding immortality in installments. 
       Cut down on the saturated animal fats in your diet and you cut
   down your risk of dying prematurely from cardiovascular disease. 
   Consume wheat bran products and you are less likely to die of colon
   cancer. Apply a sunscreen and the risk of skin cancer is lessened. 
   Eat lots of fruits and vegetables and you will consume fewer
   calories. Calorie restriction without malnutrition slows the aging
   process and extends maximum lifespan in laboratory animals. Some
   supplements can cut disease risk. Chromium and niacin cut
   cardiovascular disease risk, while chlorophyllin cuts cancer risk. 
   Recently supplements have also slowed aging as well and radically
   extended the lifespan of rats. Deprenyl treated adult rats live as
   long as 2 weeks, while untreated rats are all dead by 164 weeks. 
   (Mechanisms of Ageing and Development 46:237-2 1988) Coenzyme Q10
   has also extended survival in a recent test at the UCLA Medical
   Center -the final results will be released by 1991. 
       If current methods for increasing life expectancy are all
   utilized average life expectancy would be increased from 75 years to
   around a 100 years. While this is not immortality 25 years of life
   is still 25 years of life. Incremental Immortality is based on the
   continuing rapid advance of medical technology. If you are currently
   about 40 years of age you can expect to live to about 100 provided
   you do something now. In 20 years this figure may be higher. By the
   time you are 100 you might be faced with a 200 year lifespan if
   certain breakthroughs occur in the next 60 years. By the time you
   are 200 even the disease of aging itself might be curable. Like
   Cryonics, Incremental Immortality is a long shot. Unlike Cryonics it
   is not an all-or-nothing proposition. If the big win doesn't happen
   the consolation prize is still an extra 25 years. 
 
       Ben Best's Editorial Comment:  "It is almost certain that medical
   advances will continue to lengthen the average lifespan, and it is
   certainly a fact that simple measures such as controlling one's diet
   can increase one's life expectancy. However there is no guarentee
   that aging will be cured within the lifetime of anyone now alive. 
   (It will almost certainly not occur within the lifetime of older
   cryonicists, given the dismal attention antiaging research currently
   recieves!) Furthermore everyone is subject to some risk of death by
   accident or homicide. I see these two methods of life extension as
   being complementary, not conflicting." 
       ......My present position on this issue can be summed up in a
   question to cryonicists: Do you currently take melatonin, chromium
   picolinate and deprenyl? One bird (or life) in hand is worth far
   more than two in the bush. If you plan on spending over $100,000 on
   cryonics you should be willing to spend far less than this taking
   all of the top life extension supplements.
       While I was writing the above article a remarkable experiment
   was being conducted at North Dakota University to determine the
   effect of injections of growth hormone on the lifespan of aged mice. 
   The results were so outstanding that I believe they may even herald
   the begining of the age of immortality. How long could GH treated
   mice live? We do not know. The experiment was terminated 6 weeks
   after all the control mice had died. It seems the GH treated mice
   were taking so long to expire that the experimenters may have lost
   patience. The GH treated mice were executed en mass at the end of
   the experiment. The reader is invited to read the report himself and
   render his own judgement: see Mechanisms of Ageing and Development
   Vol.57 87-100 1991. I get sweaty hands when I read it. 
       Of course the experiment needs to be replicated
   sans executions, particularly with other strains of rodents before a
   final judgement can be rendered. I believe this should be the first
   priority for antiaging research.


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