X-Message-Number: 5319 Date: Fri, 1 Dec 1995 21:23:38 -0800 From: John K Clark <> Subject: How Fast Will Cryonics Grow? -----BEGIN PGP SIGNED MESSAGE----- I don't know how fast Cryonics will grow, but things can change very fast even in the human sphere. I've been reading the new book by Bill Gates and he gives some examples. Take the sale of television sets: In 1945 0 sets were sold. In 1946 10,000 sets were sold. In 1947 17,000 sets were sold. In 1948 190,000 sets were sold. In 1949 1,000,000 sets were sold. In 1950 4,000,000 sets were sold. In 1950 10,000,000 sets were sold. The sale of pre recorded video tapes is another good example, starting from essentially zero in 1979: In 1982 4 million tapes were sold. In 1983 9.5 million tapes were sold. In 1984 22 million tapes were sold. In 1985 52 million tapes were sold. In 1986 84 million tapes were sold. In 1987 110 million tapes were sold. I haven't looked it up, but I'll bet you could find the same sort of growth in the miles of railroad track constructed in the 19'th century, or number of telephones, or electrical transmission lines made in the early part of the 20'th century. And I'll bet the same is true of internet connections built in the last decade of this century. These things involved objects, not a change in philosophy about anything as powerful as death, however I can't make up my mind if that works in Cryonics favor or against it. I find a little encouragement in the fact that Christianity grew from a little known cult to a major world religion in a very short time, not bad performance, especially when you consider that it had 2 disadvantages that Cryonics does not have, Christianity has not a particle of rationality in it, and the early saints didn't have the internet to help them spread the word. Similar speed could be found in the growth of the Nazi party in the 1930's, but that may not be the best example as it's decline was even more rapid. I don't claim that Cryonics will grow at anything like these rates, but it wouldn't be impossible, such things can and do happen. John K Clark -----BEGIN PGP SIGNATURE----- Version: 2.6.i iQCzAgUBML/gqX03wfSpid95AQEGwgTvdCZe8g7GtrgMh7pivygtDkdSN6w0e7Et LcJEEw9i0ni0dTYI0VywxnoHu6LKpf6kqNrZd/QJOaHxwsHWe5iFdV2dF8dQO6Wo wTo4I15e0qOQdWFg1q/CeuhGPvxGpPQ469u1eMsLWKPg6KDotp31oChvrpFN6Ucy w1VArgooKSLQlDLMkFUfhdYU/aVdpbCfZe+oxy2wDU6bjHcvZ1s= =Niey -----END PGP SIGNATURE----- Rate This Message: http://www.cryonet.org/cgi-bin/rate.cgi?msg=5319