X-Message-Number: 7185 Date: 21 Nov 96 08:15:06 EST From: "Steven B. Harris" <> Subject: Philosophy of Science In Message #7157 (Mon, 18 Nov 1996 14:06) R.W. Ettinger () writes: >>1. Steve offers a "definition" of the "scientific method" which is juvenile, and which leads him to exclude certain areas of life and thought from "science." Actually, NO area of life or thought need be excluded from the "scientific method", or should be.<< Comment: I find Ettinger's language here and elsewhere especially unfortunate. While it's true that at age 39 I'm a somewhat younger man than Dr. Ettinger at 78, this in itself is not germane, unless ad hominem is the object. Thus I'll suggest a compromise: if Ettinger will agree in future to avoid the word "juvenile" in regard to my thinking on matters scientific, I'll agree to avoid the word "senile" in regard to his. Apart from the attempt at condescension, Dr. Ettinger's argument here seems to be partly semantic and partly philosophical. The semantic part, like all semantic arguments, is an argument over what a term like "scientific method" MEANS in everyday use by the community who use it (laymen, scientists, or philosophers of science). As to this, I can only comment that I'm well aware of how the phrase "scientific method" is used in the community of scientists, and in this I plead guilty only to using pretty much standard English, which Ettinger seems to dislike in this case (let him write letters to makers of dictionaries and encyclopedias). As to how the working scienti- fic community thinks about the scientific method in use, I can report as a working scientist that it seems to be very much the same way I do. My last paper, for instance, after extensive peer review, was published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, and I take this as evidence that a fair number of people in the scientific community (including a member of the National Academy who sponsored the paper) did not feel that this public example of my own practice of the scientific method had let the community of science down in some way. On the contrary. As for the community of people who write about the philosophy of science, I too have a shelf of books by philosophers of science, from Tarski to Popper to Putnam. In none of them have I found evidence that Ettinger is (as he claims) one of some tiny minority of people who understands the foundations of the scientific method. I can only suggest here again that people with as little humility as Ettinger admits to in this regard, ought to have a longer relevant curriculum vitae. As for Ettinger's _philosophical_ comments on the application and scope of the term "science" (the scientific method), I can only argue his definition on utilitarian grounds. If I understand Ettinger correctly, I believe his proposal that "science" should be defined so as not be excluded from any area of life, is not very useful. The problem here is that Ettinger would define "science" in a way which does not recognize an important natural dichotomy in human thought-- one which the term itself was invented in order to highlight. Clearly, as we gaze about the world of human culture, there are some areas of knowledge-seeking about the universe in which progress is being made, and all agree that it is being made (chemistry, engineeri- ng, physics, etc). There are other areas, however, in which progress is not so obviously being made, and these include the traditional areas of religion and philosophy (ethics, aesthetics, metaphysics) where arguments do not progress toward consensus with time, and in which (unlike the case in, say, physics) holders of minority opinions do NOT agree to change their minds if certain public experiments and observations, which have not yet been done, eventually show one thing verses another. In such areas there is no use talking about the search for facts about the external universe, because nobody can agree as to what the facts are, or even about how to go about finding them. Again, our word "science" (short for the older and synonymous term "natural science" preceding it) was originally constructed to differentiate these two broad areas of epistemology. The word "science" (Greek) originally simply meant practical knowledge (as in political science or carpentry science). However, the word as we use it now refers to "natural science," which in turn refers to the body of knowledge, and the method used to find it, which comprises publically demonstrable facts and predictive theories about nature. (Natural) science knowledge is differentiable from certain kinds of private experiential knowledge or ethical belief, which themselves are (unlike scientific observations and theories) not available for use in any kind of process of consensus-building toward a shared idea of truth about the external world. This is what makes "science" different. Again, the process by which knowledge of nature is gained by means of publically verified experimentation, is what I have called the "scientific method" in the preceding discussions. For this process to work, a certain quantitative process of quality control must operate, as I said. If Ettinger wishes to argue that we shouldn't be using the term in this way (as we do), he is free to argue this. But again, such a program for re-definition of the word "science" is not likely to be helpful. It does little good, for instance, for Ettinger to say that scientists rely on hearsay, faith, and indirect evidence, just like everyb- ody else (astrologers, iridologists, and preachers, I suppose), for obviously scientists do hold standards of evidence which are qualitatively and quantitatively different that those of many other philosophical or artistic undertakings, allowing the conclusions of scientists to have a special character which (at least partly) transcends culture and ideology. Specifically, if knowledge and power go together, and presence of knowledge of nature implies human power over nature, it is reasonable to conclude that the presence of human power over nature implies conversely the presence of real knowledge about nature (how else do we identify "knowledge" in a way which invites agreement by all?). Since the power of science cannot be denied by sane and honest persons (look at a rocket or a computer), the knowledge brought by scientific methods cannot be denied either (you can't get to the moon without knowing how). Our task, if we are sane and honest, then, is to identify just what factors *make* scientific knowledge and the method which leads to it uniquely powerful (therefore "true"). As Paul Wakfer notes, Ettinger's definition for the scientific method (honesty and resourcefulness) completely ignores the rather short history of application of the scientific method as we know it, and the relatively recent technical revolution which that unique process has spawned. What, did people suddenly become more honest and resourceful, beginning in the 17th century? Ettinger's definition is vague and incomplete, missing the real meat of the new ideas which comprise the scientific method. Ettinger might perhaps understand this himself if he considered that "honesty and resourcefulness," the two qualities he named as the fundamentals of the scientific method, do not by themselves imply anything at all about use of probability theory, which he later claims is the foundation of science. Here's the problem: It isn't enough to be honest and resourc- eful to do science, for honest and resourceful people still often see what they expect to, and they still make mistakes in quantity and quality in their observations. Without proper training, honest and resourceful people flounder about like Aristotle and the ancient Greeks when it came to physics and astronomy. Furthermore, there are (to pick a modern example) plenty of people who think God answers their prayers, or that an astrologer has predicted their futures. It is wholly insulting and wrong to consider such people simply dishonest. Nor are humans naturally good judges of probability in many circumstances (see Las Vegas), and this has nothing to do with honesty either (again, it's a methodological training issue). The quintessentially public character of what we generally call scientific pursuits, arises from the fact that the scienti- fic method demands checking of observations by more than one person, and/or blinding of observational trials so that people do not fool themselves with their own expectations, with regard to what they "observe." Because of natural human failings in the use of quantitative experience, the doing of science also often requires formal statistical methods in order to accurately judge probabilities. All of this is implicit in the definition of scientific method as objective quality control loop, which I earlier gave. Nowhere is it to be found in anything Ettinger has put forward. Ettinger continues: >>One of the most simplistic definitions (and one somewhat similar to Steve's) is that of Lord Kelvin, who said, "...when you can measure what you are speaking about...you know something about it; but when you cannot express it in numbers...you have scarcely advanced to the stage of Science..." The fact is that, while a scientist certainly prefers quantitative measures and precise definitions, he cannot always get them. The scientist is not too proud to use rough approximations when necessary, and in lieu of a clear idea he will go as far as he can with a vague one.<< But I would here point out that because a scientist has a vague idea, that does not make the vague idea science. Scientific ideas must be publically testable, which means they must be clearly predictive. Ideas about truth which are not publically testable or publically predictive (ex: "Jesus loves me," "That's an ugly wallpaper," "Abortion is wrong.") are not science (except possibly to Ettinger). Further, I will assert that ideas which are so vague as to really say nothing ("Only the fittest animals survive") are not science either. At best such ideas are useful in that they can be made into science with the addition of some quantification and statistics. But then, of course, they are not so vague. Ettinger: >>Is a choice of paintings "scientific?" Could be, if it results from a reasonably clear set of criteria--or even if it results just from a reasonable decision just to go with one's feelings. In all cases, what counts is an examination--as careful as the stakes warrant--of one's goals and the likelihood of reaching them by various routes.<< Comment: I submit that it is a flat-out perversion of the language to suggest that such a process has anything to do with the scientific method. Enough for tonight. I'll address some of Ettinger's more specific comments in a later message. Steve Harris Rate This Message: http://www.cryonet.org/cgi-bin/rate.cgi?msg=7185