X-Message-Number: 9557 Date: Tue, 28 Apr 1998 22:17:56 -0400 From: Saul Kent <> Subject: The Failure Of The Cryonics Movement - Part II In our denial of the truth and our evasion of reality, we go on and on about irrelevant or imaginary things. Among the myths cryonicists have developed are the following: 1) That all we need is for some billionaire to bail us out with a barrel-full of money. This myth has been with us since the inception of the movement and shows no sign of disappearing, despite strong evidence that it is absurd. Rich people, even rich cryonicists, aren't fools. They aren't going to bankroll a movement of wild- eyed dreamers and rigid ideologues. They'll put their money up (with caution) when they see persuasive evidence that the money will be used wisely, with a reasonable chance of success. I say this as someone who has been responsible for putting more money into cryonics than anyone in the history of the movement, and who has been accused frequently of being a wild-eyed dreamer myself. Well, the truth is that I *have* been a wild-eyed dreamer at times, and *have* wasted some of the money I've put into cryonics. But, for the most part, I've put my money on horses who had produced evidence that they had a shot at reaching the finish line. Moreover, now that I am older, wiser and more desperate, I am becoming more and more realistic about where I put my money and what I expect to get from it! 2) Another myth that has permeated cryonics from the beginning is that there has never been a really good effort to promote cryonics by a professional promoter/publicist/sales person, and that if we had the right promoter and enough money to do the job right, there would be rapid, accelerating growth in the movement. I contend that this is the exact opposite of the truth. While it's true that there has never been a multi-million dollar campaign to sell cryonics, there's never been enough evidence to support the investment of that kind of money in the promotion of cryonics. On the other hand, there is a long history of competent promoters, entrepreneurs and sales people comitting themselves to the growth of cryonics, with little or no success. First, there is Bob Ettinger himself, whose book (The Prospect of Immortality) persuaded a number of people (including me) to become cryonics activists. In the 1960s, Bob appeared on many local and national radio and TV shows, including several appearances on the highly popular Johnny Carson show. On one of these appearances, Bob held up a color rendering of a beautiful cryonics facility designed by a company called CryoLife in Kansas City, Missouri. Bob said that he had been told that CryoLife expected to see 30 of these facilities built across the country over the next few years. In October 1966, while on a cross-country cryonics trip with Curtis Henderson, we met with the man behind CryoLife, a successful funeral director, who was the slickest, most persuasive promoter I've ever met. However, CryoLife never got off the ground. A couple of years earlier, two fast-talking promoters with good track records in other fields--Leonard Gold and Steve Milgram--put considerable time and money into developing a cryonics company (Juno, Inc.). Gold purchased a bankrupt business (the Patton Machine Works) in Springfield, Ohio; raised substantial capital from local businessmen; persuaded a cryogenic equipment manufacturer in Columbus, Ohio (Cryovac) to build the first cryonics storage capsule free of charge; persuaded the local Springfield newspaper to give his company free publicity through regular news stories; and gathered a stack of letters from funeral directors around the country stating their desire to work with Juno. In May 1965, Juno was involved in the near-miss freezing of a woman in a hospital in Springfield that generated a tremendous amount of worldwide publicity. When Curtis Henderson and I met with Gold near the Whitestone bridge in late 1965, shortly after starting the Cryonics Society of New York, we asked him what he thought we should do: "Nothing!", he replied, " I've taken care of it all. The first person will be frozen in a few months on international TV with the Pope and other celebrities in attendance. After that, Juno expects to be freezing thousands of people a year, with the company going public right after we freeze a Nobel-prize winning scientist." Suffice it to say, none of this happened. Among the other people who tried to promote cryonics in the early years were banker and oil speculator Harlan Lane, real estate speculator and politician Don Yarborough (who came within a few votes of becoming Governor of Texas), businessman Forrest Walters (who formed ContinueLife); business- man and biophysicist John Flynn (who formed the first incarnation of BioPreservation), and businessman and real estate speculator E. Francis Hope (who formed the first incarnation of CryoCare). All these people were successful in other ventures; none were successful in cryonics. The most impressive team I met with in those days was a group of well capitalized businessmen and scientists from Cleveland, headed by the Vice-President of a major cryogenic equipment manufacturer. This group had developed specialized equipment, including a multiple- body storage device that had been patented, and included a Prof. of Biophysics from Case Western Reserve University whose research team had frozen pigs at Case Western. Despite all this, they went nowhere with cryonics. In later years, a number of other competent people, with track records of success in other business ventures, tried their best to promote cryonics. These included, Irving Rand, a crack insurance salesman, who spent a great deal of time and money attempting to sell cryonics, without success. Then there is what I consider the best and longest standing campaign to promote cryonics...the efforts at Alcor in the 80s and early 90s, which led to a growth rate of 30% a year for a number of years until Jerry Leaf's sudden and un- timely death, which destabilized Alcor and led to its breakup, resulting in the formation of CryoCare in 1993. I'll get back to what Ralph Merkle has deemed "The Golden Era of Cryonics" later, but first I want to discuss another of the myths that has plagued the cryonics movement for years. 3) This myth is that the biggest thing holding back growth in cryonics has been the continuous and persistent attacks on us by cryobiologists...in newspaper and magazine stories and on radio and TV shows. I don't deny that a less hostile attitude towards cryonics on the part of the cryobiologists would have helped the movement, but I completely disagree with the notion that the hostility of cryobiologists has been a major reason for the failure of the cryonics movement to grow. I say this because history shows that it is possible to achieve major growth in an industry in spite of hostility from the authorities in the field. A good example is the growth of the vitamin supplement industry. In the 1950s, virtually every medical doctor and nutritionist in the United States contended that "supplemental vitamins are worthless" and didn't hesitate to voice this opinion to their patients and to the media. At that time, the relatively small number of people who took vitamins were considered "health nuts". However, in the 1960s and 70s, the use of vitamins grew rapidly in spite of continued opposition from the medical profession and little scientific evidence to support it. By the 80s and 90s, the growth of the vitamin industry had accelerated dramatically, in large part because of an avalanche of scientific studies in favor of taking vitamins. Another example is the practice of birth control in the United States among Catholics in spite of continuing opposition to the practice by the Pope and the upper echelon of the Catholic Church. Surveys have shown that just as high a percentage of Catholics practice birth control in the U.S. as non-catholics. The common thread in these two examples is that it has been possible to generate tremendous growth in two industries despite the opposition (and hostility) of the authorities for one critically important reason: the products work! In the case of vitamins this became apparent to regular vitamin takers long before scientific studies confirmed the health benefits of vitamins. It didn't take rocket science for vitamin takers to discover that they felt better and got sick less often when they took vitamins. Similarly, Catholics defied their Church by using birth control because it stopped women from becoming pregnant far more effectively than the rhythm method advocated by the Church. I'm very confident that many people who believe in the religious concept of an afterlife will opt for cryonics as soon as they believe it will work better than the notion of getting to heaven, which brings me to the final cryonics myth I want to discuss: 4) That the failure of the cryonics movement to grow is some kind of mystery. The only mystery I find difficult to fathom is why--after 33 years of failure--anyone in the movement remains puzzled in any way about *why* cryonics has failed to grow. To put it in a nutshell: cryonics hasn't grown because nobody thinks it will work! After 33 years of failing to convince people that cryonics can work, you'd think we'd all agree that, except for a handful of people, it's difficult or impossible to sell cryonics, and that "a handful of people" cannot be translated into significant growth. But all I hear about is other reasons for our failure to grow: that signing up is too hard; that religious beliefs stop people from signing up; that people find it hard to confront their own mortality; that people don't want to confront the opposition to cryonics of family members and friends; that young people don't think they'll need to be signed up for years....etc., etc. I'm well aware of all these reasons and more and there's some validity to all of them, but the truth is that all of them together don't compare to the simple fact that we've got a terrible product that virtually no one wants! Now it's time to get back to Ralph Merkle's "golden era of cryonics" when Alcor's growth rate was 30% a year. First, I want to say that the growth rate in Alcor at the time was the result of a tremendous amount of effort and energy on the part of a number of dedicated people, which began to dissipate after one of these people --Jerry Leaf--died suddenly. Second, I want to say that, although there were strong promotional efforts carried out during those years to increase membership growth, the critical heart of Alcor's program that, I believe, was most reponsible for its growth was the research program carried out by Jerry Leaf, Mike Darwin, Hugh Hixon and others, which led to advances in the methods by which we freeze our patients. This research effort was the core activity around which everything else revolved. It was the major source of energy that lent vitality and excitment to all Alcor activities. Anyone who doubts this should understand that if it hadn't been for Alcor's research program, the "golden era of cryonics" would undoubtedly have been known as the "dark ages of cryonics" and the movement would be even closer to extinction today. I say this because I know beyond a shadow of a doubt that four of the key people in Alcor at that time would *not* have been activists if it hadn't been for the Alcor/Cryovita research program. They are Jerry Leaf, who brought professional research and cryonics services into the movement, who played a major stabilizing political role in Alcor, who funded virtually all of the initial research through his company Cryovita Laboratories, and whose presence at Alcor attracted a wide variety of competent people. Jerry's primary interest was research. He agreed to head Alcor's cryonic suspension team reluctantly, and thought it unlikely that current methods of cryonics were preserving enough of the brain to permit future reanimation. His dream was to achieve suspended animation, and he would never have considered becoming involved in Alcor without being involved in research. One of the people that Jerry attracted to Alcor was Mike Darwin. Mike was living and conducting research in Indianapolis, Indiana when Jerry Leaf started Cryovita. It was Jerry's experience in conducting research at UCLA Medical Center, his desire to conduct research at Cryovita, and his willingness to invest substantially in that research that caused Mike to move to Southern California. Shortly after Mike moved to SoCal he became President of Alcor and the "golden era of cryonics" began. Another person who came to Alcor because of Jerry was Brenda Peters. Brenda interviewed Jerry about his interest in suspended animation around the time that Jerry was beginning to get involved in Alcor. Brenda then became involved herself, eventually becoming a member of the Alcor Board of Directors. She participated in and played a significant role in Alcor's research, and played a major role in recruiting members to Alcor and in raising funds for research. The fourth person who played a signficant role in Alcor's growth, but would not have done so if not for Alcor's research program was me. When I stopped being a cryonics activist in 1971, a major reason for doing so was that, after 6 years of intensive efforts, the cryonics movement had failed to fund or promote any signficant research. I vowed never to become an activist again unless the organization I was part of had a significant commitment to research. In the 1980s, I donated significant funds to Alcor, wrote and developed promotional brochures and other mailing pieces, organized and directed conferences, and helped promote the research program. Without the active participation of Jerry Leaf, Mike Darwin, Brenda Peters and myself, Alcor would have remained a tiny backwater cryonics organization or would have disappeared into the night. Certainly, Alcor would *never* have made the research, = legal, medical, public relations and administrative strides it made in the 80s and early 90s. In fact, I think it's highly unlikely that Ralph Merkle and hundreds of others would have joined Alcor if Jerry, Mike, Brenda and myself had not become activists. Throughout most of the 33-year-old cryonics movement, I was almost as guilty as others in denying the truth about cryonics. I, too, put less money and time into research than I could have. I, too, pursued tactics aimed at cryonics growth rather than the improvement of cryopreservation methods. I, too, became involved in internal political conflicts within the movement. I, too, castigated the cryo- biologists for their attacks on cryonics. But, in comparison with most other cryonicists, I was enlightened. Despite my myopia over certain issues, I have been investing money and promoting research since the 1960s. At the time of Jerry Leaf's death, he and Greg Fahy were well into the planning stages of a brain cryopreservation research project, which I had already raised some money for. We had also planned to continue the full-body washout hypothermia research we had conducted for a number years, and had other research plans as well. When all this was derailed by Jerry's death and subsequent events at Alcor, I made up my mind to work harder than ever to make enough money to support a research program that would not be so dependent on one person (such as Jerry Leaf). For a number of years, I (and Bill Faloon) were not able to make enough money to achieve this goal because of a long-standing legal and political struggle with the FDA. Fortunately, Paul Wakfer, who had come to SoCal in large part to help out with the research program, began to put in substantial amounts of his money, time and effort to help Mike Darwin put together a research facility in Colton, California, which was the precursor to the 21st Century Medicine facility in Rancho Cucamonga, which Paul also played a major role in creating. Finally, in February 1996, Bill and I were able to win our war with the FDA and, as a result, were soon able to increase our funding for research dramatically. Today, we are investing about $1 million dollars a year in 21CM research, as well as hundreds of thousands of dollars more per year for anti-aging research, while Paul Wakfer continues to raise money for brain cryopreservation research through the Institute For Neural Cryobiology (INC), which has taken over what was formerly known as The Prometheus Project. Over the last few years, I've come to the conclusion that major research advances leading to better and more credible cryonics services is the *only* hope we have of salvaging the failed cryonics movement and preventing its extinction. I think it would be a huge mistake for us to keep on trying to sell an inferior product that almost nobody wants to buy. That's what we've tried to do for the past 33 years. Our failure can be seen in a rapidly aging move- ment whose principals are dying off without being replaced. I believe that the *only* way we can attract young people to our movement is to provide them with irrefutable evidence that we are improving cryonics methods and moving towards suspended animation. Research will not only attract scientists who can contribute to it, but will also attract young people from all disciplines, who will see cryonics as a vital, growing, dynamic movement that's going to change the world! Research is also the only means of improving the credibility of the movement. It will not be possible for us to win over mainstream scientists, physicians, media leaders, politicians, attorneys, businessmen and professionals of all kinds in any way other than through research. We now have an unprecedented opportunity to make major progress in cerebral resuscitation, organ cryopreservation, and human vitrification, which will lead to great improvements in cryonics services, greater credibility for cryonics, the ability to raise = capital to develop even better services, major profits which can be reinvested into research,and the transformation of cryonics from a tiny, dying oddball movement into an integral part of mainstream 21st century medicine What we need to acquire legitimacy for cryonics from young and old alike, is hard, published evidence that major organs such as the kidney and heart can be cryopre- served effectively; that the information in the brain can be cryopreserved effectively; that apparently "dead" people can be restored to life, health and vigor, that we can convert laboratory breakthroughs into advanced human cryopreser- vation services, and that we can deliver these advanced services to consumers at affordable prices. Once we develop a product that people really want, they'll be "breaking down our doors" to get it, and we'll have more growth than we can imagine.. However, if we do *not* conduct the research to develop cryonics and gain credibility in mainstream science and medicine, the movement will grow weaker and weaker, and will likely, in my opinion, become extinct within the next 20-to-30 years! The choice is ours! Unless we invest our money and time in research, I believe we are doomed to oblivion... both individually and collectively! Anyone who wishes to donate money to research can do so through the non-profit Institute For Neural Cryobiology. INC is funding a hippocampal brain slice cryopreservation project at a mainstream medical center that is an important step towards suspended animation. You can find out more about this project on INC's web site: http://neurocryo.org. You can donate to the project at http://neurocryo.org/funding.html. 21st Century Medicine (21CM) is a for-profit company that occupies two buildings in Southern California. One building is devoted to cerebral resuscitation research, the other to cryopre- servation research. 21CM has an ambitious research program that features kidney, heart, brain and whole-body vitrification. Later in the year, 21CM will be offering stock in the company to investors. Anyone who wishes to be put on a waiting list to receive a 21CM Prospectus should send their name, phone number and postal address to: Joan O'Farrell, Chief Financial Officer, 21st Century Medicine, 10743 Civic Center Drive, Rancho Cucamonga, CA 91730; or call her at: 909-987-3883 or contact her via email at: I've written this essay to provide evidence for my contention that--at this time in history--we should devote most of our attention, time and money to suspended animation research. I invite comment, criticism and discussion of the ideas in this piece. ---Saul Kent, CEO 21st Century Medicine Rate This Message: http://www.cryonet.org/cgi-bin/rate.cgi?msg=9557